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23 September 2025,06:47
Chart The Market
23 September 2025, 06:47
Gold, H4:
XAUUSD has extended its rally to test the 3,745 zone, but momentum is showing signs of fatigue. Despite higher highs in price, both RSI sits at 71 and MACD are forming bearish divergences, suggesting upside momentum is weakening. Immediate resistance is at 3,745, with the next extension target near 3,821 if bulls manage a breakout. On the downside, initial support lies at 3,680, followed by 3,635 and deeper at 3,570 at 0.786 Fibonacci level.
RSI is hovering in overbought territory while showing a negative divergence, pointing to risk of a short-term pullback. MACD remains in positive territory but is also diverging lower, reinforcing the likelihood of cooling momentum.
Overall, gold’s medium-term trend remains bullish, but stretched conditions and divergences warn of consolidation or corrective pressure before another potential leg higher. A close above 3,745 would keep buyers in control, while a break below 3,680 risks triggering a deeper retracement.
Resistance Levels: 3780.00, 3821.00
Support Levels: 3680.00, 3635.00
DXY, H4
The US Dollar Index has slipped back under pressure after failing to sustain gains above the 98.00 resistance level, with price action now consolidating near the 97.30 zone. The inability to hold above the 20- and 50-period moving averages suggests a softening momentum, leaving the index vulnerable to further downside tests.
Support is now situated at 97.00, a key pivot that, if broken, could expose the next downside target around 96.60. On the other hand, reclaiming 98.00 on a decisive break would be required to re-establish bullish traction, with 98.75 and 99.60 as subsequent upside hurdles.
Momentum indicators reflect a cautious backdrop: the RSI has eased to 47, leaning toward bearish territory without being oversold, while the MACD shows fading bullish momentum as the histogram narrows and signal lines flatten. These conditions highlight indecision, with the near-term bias tilted slightly bearish unless DXY can recover above the 98.00 threshold.
Resistance Levels: 97.50, 98.00
Support Levels: 97.00, 96.60
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